Iindaba

Kwiinyanga ezili-10 zokuqala zika-2023, urhwebo lwangaphandle lwamalaphu e-China lwehla kancinane, kwaye ukuthunyelwa kwempahla kumazwe angaphandle kuye kwaguquguquka kakhulu, kodwa imeko yokuthumela ngaphandle kwempahla elukiweyo kunye nempahla beyisezinzile. Okwangoku, emva kokukhula kokuthunyelwa kwempahla yasekhaya ngo-Agasti nangoSeptemba, ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kubuyele kumjelo wokuhla ngo-Okthobha, kwaye ukukhula okubi okukhulayo kwakugcinwe. Ukuthunyelwa kwe-China kumazwe angaphandle kwiimarike zemveli ezifana ne-United States kunye ne-Europe ziye zachacha ngokuthe ngcembe, kwaye emva kokugqitywa kokucolwa kwempahla yaphesheya kweelwandle, kulindeleke ukuba ukuthunyelwa kwempahla kumazwe angaphandle kuya kuzinza ngokuthe ngcembe kwixesha elizayo.

Ukuhla okongezelekayo kokuthunyelwa kwempahla kumazwe angaphandle ngo-Okthobha kuye kwanda

Emva kokunyuka okuncinci ngo-Agasti noSeptemba, ukuthunyelwa kwempahla yempahla yasekhaya yehla kwakhona ngo-Okthobha, yehla nge-3%, kwaye imali yokuthumela ngaphandle yehla ukusuka kwi-3.13 yeebhiliyoni zeedola zaseMelika ngoSeptemba ukuya kwi-2.81 yeebhiliyoni zeedola zaseMelika. Ukusukela ngoJanuwari ukuya ku-Okthobha, ukuthunyelwa kwempahla yasekhaya yaseTshayina kukongezeleka kwi-27.33 yeebhiliyoni zeedola zaseMelika, yehle kancinane nge-0.5%, kwaye ukwehla okunyukayo kunyuke nge-0.3 yeepesenti kwinyanga edlulileyo.

Kudidi lwemveliso, ukuthunyelwa kwekhaphethi kumazwe angaphandle okongezelekayo, iimpahla zasekhitshini kunye namalaphu etafile zigcine ukukhula okulungileyo. Ngokukodwa, ukuthunyelwa kwekhaphethi kumazwe angaphandle kwe-3.32 yeebhiliyoni zeedola zaseMelika, ukwanda kwe-4.4%; Ukuthunyelwa ngaphandle kwempahla yasekhitshini kwakuyi-2.43 yeebhiliyoni zeedola zase-US, ukunyuka kwe-9% ngonyaka; Ukuthunyelwa kwelaphu letafile kumazwe angaphandle bezizigidi ezingama-670 zeedola zaseMelika, ukonyuka nge-4.3% unyaka nonyaka. Ukongeza, ixabiso leemveliso zebhedi kumazwe angaphandle laliyi-11.57 yeebhiliyoni zeedola zase-US, phantsi kwe-1.8% unyaka nonyaka; Ukuthunyelwa kwetawuli kumazwe angaphandle kwaba yi-1.84 yeebhiliyoni zeedola zaseMelika, zehle nge-7.9% ngonyaka; Ukuthunyelwa ngaphandle kweengubo, amakhethini kunye nezinye iimpahla zokuhombisa zaqhubeka zinciphisa ngeepesenti ze-0.9, i-2.1 kunye ne-3.2 yeepesenti, ngokulandelanayo, zonke ngezinga elincitshisiweyo ukusuka kwinyanga edlulileyo.

Ukuthunyelwa kwempahla kumazwe angaphandle eMelika naseYurophu kukhawulezise ukuchacha, ngelixa ukuthunyelwa kumazwe asahlumayo kuye kwathotha

Ezona marike zine ziphezulu zokuthunyelwa kwelaphu lasekhaya laseTshayina yiMelika, i-ASEAN, iManyano yaseYurophu kunye neJapan. Ukususela ngoJanuwari ukuya ku-Oktobha, ukuthunyelwa ngaphandle kwe-United States kwakuyi-8.65 yeebhiliyoni zeedola zase-US, phantsi kwe-1.5% ngonyaka, kwaye ukuhla okunyukayo kwaqhubeka kuncinci ngeepesenti ze-2.7 xa kuthelekiswa nenyanga edlulileyo; Ukuthunyelwa ngaphandle kwe-ASEAN kufikelele kwi-US $ 3.2 yezigidigidi, i-1.5% ngonyaka-ngonyaka, kwaye izinga lokukhula elikhulayo liqhubekile linciphisa ngeepesenti ze-5 xa kuthelekiswa nenyanga edlulileyo; Ukuthunyelwa ngaphandle kwe-EU kwakuyi-US $ 3.35 yezigidigidi, phantsi kwe-5% ngonyaka-ngonyaka kunye neepesenti ze-1.6 zeepesenti eziphantsi kwenyanga edlulileyo; Ukuthunyelwa kwempahla eJapan kwaba yi-US $ 2.17 yezigidigidi, phantsi kwe-12.8% ngonyaka, ukunyuka kweepesenti ze-1.6 kwiinyanga ezidlulileyo; Ukuthunyelwa ngaphandle kwe-Australia kwaba yi-US $ 980 yezigidi, phantsi kwe-6.9%, okanye ipesenti ye-1.4 yeepesenti.

Ukususela ngoJanuwari ukuya ku-Oktobha, ukuthunyelwa kumazwe angaphandle kwe-Belt kunye neNdlela kufikelele kwi-7.43 yeebhiliyoni zeedola zaseMelika, ukuya kwi-6.9 yeepesenti ngonyaka. Ukuthunyelwa kwayo kumazwe amathandathu eBhunga leNtsebenziswano yeGulf kuMbindi Mpuma ibiyi-US $1.21 yebhiliyoni, yehle nge-3.3% unyaka nonyaka. Ukuthunyelwa kumazwe angaphandle kumazwe amahlanu ase-Asia afikelela kwi-680 yezigidi zeedola zase-US, ukugcina ukukhula ngokukhawuleza kwe-46.1%; Ukuthunyelwa kwayo e-Afrika kwakuyi-US $ 1.17 yebhiliyoni, inyuke nge-10.1% unyaka nonyaka; Ukuthunyelwa kumazwe angaphandle kwi-Latin America kwakuyi-$ 1.39 yezigidigidi, i-6.3%.

Ukusebenza kokuthumela ngaphandle kwamaphondo amakhulu kunye nezixeko akulingani. I-Zhejiang kunye ne-Guangdong zigcina ukukhula okulungileyo

IZhejiang, iJiangsu, iShandong, iGuangdong kunye neShanghai zibekwe phakathi kwawona maphondo amahlanu aphezulu okuthunyelwa kwelaphu ekhaya kunye nezixeko. Phakathi kwamaphondo amaninzi kunye nezixeko eziphezulu, ngaphandle kweShandong, ukuhla kuye kwanda, kwaye amanye amaphondo kunye nezixeko ziye zagcina ukukhula okulungileyo okanye zanciphisa ukuhla. Ukususela ngoJanuwari ukuya ku-Oktobha, ukuthengiswa kweZhejiang kufikelele kwi-8.43 yeebhiliyoni zeedola zase-US, ukunyuka kwe-2.8% ngonyaka; Ukuthunyelwa kwe-Jiangsu ku-5.94 yeebhiliyoni zeedola, phantsi kwe-4.7%; Ukuthunyelwa kweShandong kumazwe angaphandle bekuyi-3.63 yeebhiliyoni zeedola, kwehle nge-8.9%; Ukuthunyelwa kwe-Guangdong kumazwe angaphandle kwaba yi-US $2.36 yeebhiliyoni, inyuke nge-19.7%; Ukuthunyelwa ngaphandle kwe-Shanghai bekuyi-1.66 yeebhiliyoni zeedola, phantsi kwe-13%. Phakathi kweminye imimandla, i-Xinjiang kunye ne-Heilongjiang zigcine ukukhula okuphezulu kokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe ngokuthembela kurhwebo lwemida, okunyuka nge-84.2% kunye ne-95.6% ngokulandelelanayo.

I-United States, iYurophu kunye ne-Japan ukuthengwa kwempahla yasekhaya yasekhaya kubonise ukuhla

Ukususela ngoJanuwari ukuya kuSeptemba 2023, iUnited States ingenise i-12.32 yeebhiliyoni zeedola zase-US zeemveliso zempahla yasekhaya, phantsi kwe-21.4%, apho ukuthengiswa kwempahla evela e-China kwawa ngama-26.3%, e-akhawunti ye-42,4%, phantsi kwe-2.8 yeepesenti ukusuka kwixesha elifanayo kunyaka ophelileyo. Ngexesha elifanayo, ukuthengiswa kwe-US evela eIndiya, ePakistan, eTurkey naseVietnam kwehle ipesenti ze-17.7, i-20.7 ipesenti, i-21.8 kunye ne-27 ipesenti, ngokulandelanayo. Phakathi kwemithombo emikhulu yokungeniswa kwamanye amazwe, kuphela ukuthengwa kwempahla evela eMexico kunyuke ngeepesenti ze-14.4.

Ukususela ngoJanuwari ukuya kuSeptemba, ukuthengiswa kwe-EU kwemveliso yempahla yasekhaya yayiyi-7.34 yeebhiliyoni zeedola zase-US, phantsi kwe-17,7%, apho ukuthengiswa kwe-China kwawela i-22,7%, i-akhawunti ye-35%, i-2.3 yeepesenti yeepesenti ukusuka kwixesha elifanayo kunyaka ophelileyo. Ngexesha elifanayo, ukuthengiswa kwe-EU evela ePakistan, eTurkey naseIndiya kwehle ngeepesenti ze-13.8, i-12.2 yeepesenti kunye ne-24.8 ipesenti ngokulandelanayo, ngelixa ukuthengwa kwempahla evela e-UK kwanda nge-7.3 yeepesenti.

Ukususela ngoJanuwari ukuya kuSeptemba, iJapan ingenisa i-2.7 yeebhiliyoni zeedola zase-US zeemveliso zempahla yasekhaya, phantsi kwe-11.2%, apho ukuthengwa kwempahla evela e-China kwawa nge-12,2%, i-74%, phantsi kweepesenti ze-0.8 ukusuka kwixesha elifanayo kunyaka ophelileyo. Ukuthengiswa kwempahla evela eVietnam, eIndiya, eThailand nase-Indonesia kwehle ipesenti ze-7.1, i-24.3 yeepesenti, i-3.4 kunye ne-5.2 ipesenti, ngokulandelanayo, ngexesha elifanayo.

Lilonke, imakethi yamazwe ngamazwe eyalukiweyo yasekhaya ngokuthe ngcembe ibuyela kwimeko yesiqhelo emva kokufumana ukuguquguquka. Imfuno yeemarike zemveli zamazwe ngamazwe ezifana ne-United States kunye neYurophu zibuyela ngokukhawuleza, kwaye ukugaya okusisiseko kwe-inventory kuphelile kwaye ixesha lokuthenga elifana ne "Black Friday" likhuthaze ukubuyiswa ngokukhawuleza kokuthunyelwa kwempahla yasekhaya e-United States naseYurophu ukususela ngo-Agasti. Nangona kunjalo, imfuno yeemalike ezisahlumayo iye yacotha noko, kwaye ukuthunyelwa kwempahla kumazwe angaphandle kubo kuye kwabuyela ngokuthe ngcembe ukusuka kuhlumo olukwisantya esiphezulu ukuya kumanqanaba okukhula aqhelekileyo. Kwixesha elizayo, amashishini ethu athumela impahla elukiweyo kufuneka azame ukuhamba ngemilenze yomibini, ngelixa ephonononga ngokukhutheleyo iimarike ezintsha, azinzise isabelo sokukhula kweemalike eziqhelekileyo, aphephe ukuthembela ngokugqithisileyo kumngcipheko wemarike enye, kwaye afezekise uyilo olwahlukeneyo lwemarike yamazwe ngamazwe.